Will Donald Trump say “Kamala / Obama / Biden” 12+ times?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Kamala / Obama / Biden” 12+ times at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 30% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (12+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Kamala / Obama / Biden 12+ times
- Probability
- 30% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 0 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
he settled eight wars. No other president settled the war. You know, Obama got the Nobel Prize about two weeks after he got into office.…
…DC. Many of them came through the open borders from sleepy Joe Biden. But we moved out of 5,000 career criminals. And a friend of…
…media. You know, I was telling him the other night I imitated Biden on the stage where he used to walk off walls and could…
…actually zero in 17 months. Who can believe it, right? Remember Joe Biden said we'd have to go to Congress to get a change. I…
Yeah. Sure, sure. We had a wonderful man who, during the Biden administration, was taken hostage in Russia. They claimed things -- we won't get…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Kamala / Obama / Biden 12+ times |  Polymarket | No | 1 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Kamala / Obama / Biden 12+ times | Polymarket | No | 5 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Kamala / Obama / Biden 12+ times”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Kamala / Obama / Biden” 12+ times at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 9, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Kamala / Obama / Biden 12+ times” next time?
- 30%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Kamala / Obama / Biden 12+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/biden-or-kamala-or-obama-12plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=biden%20%2F%20kamala%20%2F%20obama%20%2812%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP