Will Donald Trump say “Biden” 15+ times?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Biden” 15+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 27, 2026.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (15+, named speaker only) in 0. 3 later rallies without a transcript yet (since Oct 26, 2026) are not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 53¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Biden 15+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…I had another case. I explained it yesterday. sometimes mimic sleepy Joe Biden when he speaks. First of all, he speaks for extremely short periods…
…DC. Many of them came through the open borders from sleepy Joe Biden. But we moved out of 5,000 career criminals. And a friend of…
…media. You know, I was telling him the other night I imitated Biden on the stage where he used to walk off walls and could…
…actually zero in 17 months. Who can believe it, right? Remember Joe Biden said we'd have to go to Congress to get a change. I…
Yeah. Sure, sure. We had a wonderful man who, during the Biden administration, was taken hostage in Russia. They claimed things -- we won't get…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | Biden 15+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Biden 15+ times”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Biden” 15+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 27, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Biden 15+ times” next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Biden 15+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/biden-15plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=biden%20%2815%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP