Will Donald Trump say “Stock market / 401(k)”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Stock market / 401(k)” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 1, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Stock market / 401(k)
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…anybody else. They wouldn't be making that announcement two years ago. The stock market has set 88 all-time highs since the election, much less than…
…of America by far than we have ever had before and the stock market has set 88 all-time record highs since the election less than…
…and that's why you're building all of these plants all over. The stock market has set 88 all-time records in just this short less than…
…it. It's I I think it's great. It's good for everybody. The stock market has set 88 all-time record highs since the election less than…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Stock market / 401(k) |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Stock market / 401(k)”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Stock market / 401(k)” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 1, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Stock market / 401(k)” next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Stock market / 401(k)’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/401-k-or-stock-market (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=401%20k%20%2F%20stock%20market · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP