Will “First down” be said 30+ times on the next NFL broadcast?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “First down” was said 30+ times on NFL broadcasts in 3 of 3 games with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 9, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 13, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- play-by-play or color
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
NFL
First down 30+ times
- Probability
- 56% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
Next listing counts: play-by-play or color
We don’t have transcripts for NFL yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | First down 30+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 12, 2025 | First down 30+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 9, 2025 | First down 30+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “First down 30+ times” said on NFL broadcasts?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “First down” was said 30+ times on NFL broadcasts in 3 of 3 games with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 9, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 13, 2025.
- What is the probability “First down 30+ times” is said on NFL broadcasts next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: play-by-play or color.
Cite parrot.markets, “NFL: ‘First down 30+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/sports/nfl/words/first-down-30plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nfl&word=first%20down%20%2830%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nfl&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP