# NFL (nfl) · game 2025-10-13 · 36 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-25OCT14 · P p:nfl-monday-mentions-bears-vs-commanders · as_of 2026-10-27T13:36:38Z
# scope K named_crew; P pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2025-10-13 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-25OCT14 ({word} = w of K rows): If Joe Buck and/or Troy Aikman says {word} as part of Chicago at Washington pro football game commentary, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:nfl-monday-mentions-bears-vs-commanders (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if either a play-by-play announcer or a color commentator says the listed term at any point between kickoff and the conclusion of this game during its primary official video broadcast.
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Safety	safety	1	K	8	7	0.88	YYYYYYnY	0.75	hist	yes
Fumble	fumble	1	K	8	7	0.88	YYYYYYnY	0.71	hist	yes
Fumble 3+ times	fumble#3	3	P	5	4	0.8	YYYYn	0.64	hist	yes
Challenge	challenge	1	P	2	2	1	YY	0.63	hist	yes
Comeback	comeback	1	P	2	2	1	YY	0.63	hist	yes
First down 30+ times	first down#30	30	P	2	2	1	YY	0.63	hist	yes
Rookie 3+ times	rookie#3	3	P	2	2	1	YY	0.63	hist	yes
Sack 3+ times	sack#3	3	P	2	2	1	YY	0.63	hist	yes
Safety 4+ times	safety#4	4	P	2	2	1	YY	0.63	hist	yes
Super Bowl	super bowl	1	P	4	3	0.75	YYnY	0.62	hist	yes
Tie	tie	1	K	4	3	0.75	YYYn	0.62	hist	yes
Face Mask / Facemask	face mask|facemask	1	K	8	6	0.75	YYYYYnnY	0.58	hist	yes
Inch / Inches	inch	1	K	8	6	0.75	YYYYYnnY	0.58	hist	no
Wild	wild	1	K	8	5	0.62	YYYnYnnY	0.55	hist	yes
Overtime	overtime	1	K	8	5	0.62	YYYYYnnn	0.5	hist	no
Knee 5+ times	knee#5	5	P	4	2	0.5	YnYn	0.46	hist	yes
Penalty / Flag 30+ times	flag|penalty#30	30	P	4	2	0.5	YYnn	0.46	hist	yes
Two minute warning 4+ times	two minute warning#4	4	P	2	1	0.5	nY	0.44	hist	no
Turf	turf	1	K	6	3	0.5	YnYnnY	0.41	hist	yes
Tush push	tush push	1	P	5	2	0.4	YnnYn	0.4	hist	no
Pylon	pylon	1	K	8	3	0.38	nYYnYnnn	0.34	hist	no
Late Hit	late hit	1	K	7	2	0.29	nnnYnnY	0.29	hist	no
Onside Kick	onside kick	1	K	7	1	0.14	nnYnnnn	0.27	hist	no
Pick Six	pick six	1	KP	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	0.26	hist	no
Scoop and score	scoop and score	1	P	2	0	0	nn	0.26	hist	no
Juggle	juggle	1	P	3	0	0	nnn	0.22	hist	no
Turnover on downs	turnover on down	1	P	3	0	0	nnn	0.22	hist	no
Punt 15+ times	punt#15	15	P	4	0	0	nnnn	0.19	hist	no
Hail Mary	hail mary	1	K	8	1	0.12	Ynnnnnnn	0.18	hist	yes
Concussion Protocol	concussion protocol	1	K	4	0	0	nnnn	0.17	hist	no
Intentional Grounding	intentional grounding	1	K	3	0	0	nnn	0.17	hist	yes
Taunting	taunting	1	K	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.13	hist	no
Miracle	miracle	1	KP	7	0	0	nnnnnnn	0.1	hist	no
One Handed	one handed	1	K	8	0	0	nnnnnnnn	0.09	hist	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	1	K	8	0	0	nnnnnnnn	0.09	hist	yes
USC / Southern California	southern california|usc	1	K	0	0			0.38	prior	no