# NFL (nfl) · game 2025-10-12 · 38 words · K k:KXSNFMENTION-25OCT13 · P p:nfl-sunday-mentions-lions-vs-chiefs · as_of 2026-10-27T00:15:45Z
# scope K named_crew; P pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2025-10-12 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSNFMENTION-25OCT13 ({word} = w of K rows): If Mike Tirico and/or Cris Collinsworth says {word} as part of Detroit at Kansas City pro football game commentary, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:nfl-sunday-mentions-lions-vs-chiefs (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if either a play-by-play announcer or a color commentator says the listed term at any point between kickoff and the conclusion of this game during its primary official video broadcast.
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Fumble 3+ times	fumble#3	3	P	4	4	1	YYYY	0.73	hist	no
Safety	safety	1	K	8	7	0.88	YYYYYYnY	0.72	hist	yes
Fumble	fumble	1	K	8	7	0.88	YYYYYYnY	0.69	hist	yes
Face Mask / Facemask	face mask|facemask	1	K	8	6	0.75	YYYYYnnY	0.63	hist	no
Inch	inch	1	K	8	6	0.75	YYYYYnnY	0.63	hist	no
Tie	tie	1	K	4	3	0.75	YYYn	0.57	hist	yes
Super Bowl	super bowl	1	P	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.55	hist	yes
Challenge	challenge	1	P	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	yes
Comeback	comeback	1	P	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	yes
First down 30+ times	first down#30	30	P	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	yes
Rookie 3+ times	rookie#3	3	P	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	yes
Sack 3+ times	sack#3	3	P	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	yes
Safety 4+ times	safety#4	4	P	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	yes
Overtime	overtime	1	K	8	5	0.62	YYYYYnnn	0.54	hist	no
Knee 5+ times	knee#5	5	P	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.53	hist	no
Penalty / Flag 30+ times	flag|penalty#30	30	P	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.52	hist	no
Wild	wild	1	K	8	5	0.62	YYYnYnnY	0.51	hist	yes
Tush push	tush push	1	P	4	2	0.5	YnnY	0.46	hist	no
Turf	turf	1	K	6	3	0.5	YnYnnY	0.45	hist	no
Pylon	pylon	1	K	8	3	0.38	nYYnYnnn	0.37	hist	no
Late Hit	late hit	1	K	7	2	0.29	nnnYnnY	0.32	hist	no
Scoop and score	scoop and score	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist	no
Two minute warning 4+ times	two minute warning#4	4	P	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist	yes
Pick Six	pick six	1	KP	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.29	hist	no
Showgirl	showgirl	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.29	hist	yes
Juggle	juggle	1	P	2	0	0	nn	0.26	hist	no
Turnover on downs	turnover on down	1	P	2	0	0	nn	0.26	hist	no
Rashee Rice	rashee rice	1	K	2	0	0	nn	0.24	hist	yes
Punt 15+ times	punt#15	15	P	3	0	0	nnn	0.22	hist	no
Taylor Swift	taylor swift	1	K	3	0	0	nnn	0.21	hist	yes
Hail Mary	hail mary	1	K	8	1	0.12	Ynnnnnnn	0.2	hist	no
Intentional Grounding	intentional grounding	1	K	3	0	0	nnn	0.2	hist	no
Onside Kick	onside kick	1	K	7	1	0.14	nnYnnnn	0.18	hist	yes
Taunting	taunting	1	K	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.15	hist	no
Miracle	miracle	1	KP	6	0	0	nnnnnn	0.11	hist	no
One Handed	one handed	1	K	8	0	0	nnnnnnnn	0.1	hist	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	1	K	8	0	0	nnnnnnnn	0.1	hist	no
Superbowl	superbowl	1	K	0	0			0.37	prior	yes