Will Steve Hilton say “Newsom”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Steve Hilton said “Newsom” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 22, 2026 (33%), most recently on Apr 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 31% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
31%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Steve Hilton
Newsom
- Probability
- 31% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Steve Hilton yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Steve Hilton say “Newsom”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Steve Hilton said “Newsom” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 22, 2026 (33%), most recently on Apr 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Steve Hilton says “Newsom” next time?
- 31%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Steve Hilton: ‘Newsom’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/steve-hilton/words/newsom (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=steve-hilton&word=newsom · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=steve-hilton&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP