Will Steve Hilton say “Mental Health”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Steve Hilton said “Mental Health” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 22, 2026 (67%), most recently on Oct 17, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Steve Hilton
Mental Health
- Probability
- 51% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Steve Hilton yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Mental Health |  Kalshi | Yes |
| May 5, 2026 | Mental Health | Kalshi | No |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Mental Health | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Steve Hilton say “Mental Health”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Steve Hilton said “Mental Health” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 22, 2026 (67%), most recently on Oct 17, 2026.
- What is the probability Steve Hilton says “Mental Health” next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Steve Hilton: ‘Mental Health’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/steve-hilton/words/mental-health (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=steve-hilton&word=mental%20health · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=steve-hilton&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP