Will Steve Hilton say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Steve Hilton said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 5, 2026 (33%), most recently on May 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 31% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Steve Hilton
AI / Artificial Intelligence
- Probability
- 31% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Steve Hilton yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence |  Kalshi | No |
| Jun 10, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | No |
| May 5, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Steve Hilton say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Steve Hilton said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 5, 2026 (33%), most recently on May 5, 2026.
- What is the probability Steve Hilton says “AI / Artificial Intelligence” next time?
- 31%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Steve Hilton: ‘AI / Artificial Intelligence’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/steve-hilton/words/ai-or-artificial-intelligence (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=steve-hilton&word=ai%20%2F%20artificial%20intelligence · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=steve-hilton&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP