Will Nancy Pelosi say “Trump”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Nancy Pelosi said “Trump” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 7, 2026 (25%), most recently on Jan 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 26% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

26%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Nancy Pelosi

Trump

Probability
26% · n=4
Settled
1/4 (25%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Nancy Pelosi yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Nancy Pelosi say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Nancy Pelosi say during her GWU remarks? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Nancy Pelosi say during her MS NOW interview? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Nancy Pelosi say on The Briefing With Jen Psaki? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Nancy Pelosi say during DNC speech? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jun 17, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Apr 13, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Mar 31, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Jan 7, 2026TrumpKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Nancy Pelosi say “Trump”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Nancy Pelosi said “Trump” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 7, 2026 (25%), most recently on Jan 7, 2026.
What is the probability Nancy Pelosi says “Trump” next time?
26%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Nancy Pelosi: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/nancy-pelosi/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nancy-pelosi&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nancy-pelosi&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP