Will Nancy Pelosi say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Nancy Pelosi did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 31, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 26% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Nancy Pelosi
Shutdown / Shut Down
- Probability
- 26% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Nancy Pelosi yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026 | Shutdown / Shut Down |  Kalshi | No |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Shutdown / Shut Down | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Nancy Pelosi say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Nancy Pelosi did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 31, 2026.
- What is the probability Nancy Pelosi says “Shutdown / Shut Down” next time?
- 26%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Nancy Pelosi: ‘Shutdown / Shut Down’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/nancy-pelosi/words/shut-down-or-shutdown (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nancy-pelosi&word=shut%20down%20%2F%20shutdown · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nancy-pelosi&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP