Will Nancy Pelosi say “January 6”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Nancy Pelosi said “January 6” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 21, 2024 (33%), most recently on Aug 21, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 28% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Nancy Pelosi
January 6
- Probability
- 28% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Nancy Pelosi yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Nancy Pelosi say “January 6”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Nancy Pelosi said “January 6” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 21, 2024 (33%), most recently on Aug 21, 2024.
- What is the probability Nancy Pelosi says “January 6” next time?
- 28%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Nancy Pelosi: ‘January 6’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/nancy-pelosi/words/january-6 (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nancy-pelosi&word=january%206 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nancy-pelosi&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP