Will Nancy Pelosi say “Democracy”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Nancy Pelosi said “Democracy” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 21, 2024 (80%), most recently on Jun 17, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Nancy Pelosi
Democracy
- Probability
- 42% · n=5
- Settled
- 4/5 (80%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Nancy Pelosi yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Nancy Pelosi say “Democracy”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Nancy Pelosi said “Democracy” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 21, 2024 (80%), most recently on Jun 17, 2026.
- What is the probability Nancy Pelosi says “Democracy” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Nancy Pelosi: ‘Democracy’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/nancy-pelosi/words/democracy (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nancy-pelosi&word=democracy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nancy-pelosi&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP