Will Mike Waltz say “Marco / Rubio”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Mike Waltz said “Marco / Rubio” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 15, 2026.
In the one transcript we have (1 press briefing; Feb 20, 2025), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Mike Waltz
Marco / Rubio
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Russian counterparts -- both with my counterpart, the national security advisor; Secretary Rubio's counterpart, the Foreign Minister, Foreign Minister Lavrov -- you know, it --…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Marco / Rubio |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Mike Waltz say “Marco / Rubio”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Mike Waltz said “Marco / Rubio” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Mike Waltz says “Marco / Rubio” next time?
- 61%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Mike Waltz: ‘Marco / Rubio’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/mike-waltz/words/marco-or-rubio (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mike-waltz&word=marco%20%2F%20rubio · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mike-waltz&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP