Will Mike Waltz say “Biden”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Mike Waltz did not say “Biden” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 15, 2026.
In the one transcript we have (1 press briefing; Feb 20, 2025), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Mike Waltz
Biden
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…allies to give up a lethal killer; or we released, under the Biden administration, the world's most notorious arms dealer, Viktor Bout, who, by the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Biden |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Mike Waltz say “Biden”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Mike Waltz did not say “Biden” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Mike Waltz says “Biden” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Mike Waltz: ‘Biden’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/mike-waltz/words/biden (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mike-waltz&word=biden · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mike-waltz&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP