Kevin Hassett

Politics · VP & cabinetPersonTrump administrationMachine-attributedUpdated Oct 24, 2026, 09:36 UTC

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As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 46 word markets on Kevin Hassett’s appearances since 2026, on 24 different words.

History Wall

1–25 of 25, most settled first

Kevin Hassett: every word with settled markets, most settled first

Word	Mar 15episode	Apr 14keynote	May 31episode	Aug 9latest	Last 4	Settled	Probability
Afford / Affordability / Affordable	NSettled no: Afford / Affordability / Affordable, Mar 15 episode	YSettled yes: Afford / Affordability / Affordable, Apr 14 keynote	NSettled no: Afford / Affordability / Affordable, May 31 episode	NSettled no: Afford / Affordability / Affordable, Aug 9 episode	1/425%	1/425%	45%n=2 from settlement history
Hormuznever said	NSettled no: Hormuz, Mar 15 episode	NSettled no: Hormuz, Apr 14 keynote	NSettled no: Hormuz, May 31 episode	NSettled no: Hormuz, Aug 9 episode	0/40%	0/40%	30%n=2 from settlement history
Inflation	NSettled no: Inflation, Mar 15 episode	–Not listed: Inflation, Apr 14 keynote	YSettled yes: Inflation, May 31 episode	YSettled yes: Inflation, Aug 9 episode	2/367%	2/367%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Trump3+ times	NSettled no: Trump (3+ times), Mar 15 episode	YSettled yes: Trump (3+ times), Apr 14 keynote	–Not listed: Trump (3+ times), May 31 episode	YSettled yes: Trump (3+ times), Aug 9 episode	2/367%	2/367%	45%n=2 from settlement history
AI / Artificial Intelligence	–Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Mar 15 episode	YSettled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Apr 14 keynote	NSettled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, May 31 episode	NSettled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Aug 9 episode	1/333%	1/333%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Stock Market	NSettled no: Stock Market, Mar 15 episode	–Not listed: Stock Market, Apr 14 keynote	NSettled no: Stock Market, May 31 episode	NSettled no: Stock Market, Aug 9 episode	0/30%	0/30%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Oil	YSettled yes: Oil, Mar 15 episode	YSettled yes: Oil, Apr 14 keynote	–Not listed: Oil, May 31 episode	–Not listed: Oil, Aug 9 episode	2/2100%	2/2100%	55%n=2 from settlement history
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	–Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Mar 15 episode	–Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Apr 14 keynote	YSettled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, May 31 episode	NSettled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Aug 9 episode	1/250%	1/250%	–
Ceasefire	–Not listed: Ceasefire, Mar 15 episode	–Not listed: Ceasefire, Apr 14 keynote	NSettled no: Ceasefire, May 31 episode	NSettled no: Ceasefire, Aug 9 episode	0/20%	0/20%	–
China	NSettled no: China, Mar 15 episode	NSettled no: China, Apr 14 keynote	–Not listed: China, May 31 episode	–Not listed: China, Aug 9 episode	0/20%	0/20%	30%n=2 from settlement history
China / Chinese	–Not listed: China / Chinese, Mar 15 episode	–Not listed: China / Chinese, Apr 14 keynote	NSettled no: China / Chinese, May 31 episode	NSettled no: China / Chinese, Aug 9 episode	0/20%	0/20%	–
Tariff	–Not listed: Tariff, Mar 15 episode	NSettled no: Tariff, Apr 14 keynote	–Not listed: Tariff, May 31 episode	NSettled no: Tariff, Aug 9 episode	0/20%	0/20%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Warsh	–Not listed: Warsh, Mar 15 episode	–Not listed: Warsh, Apr 14 keynote	NSettled no: Warsh, May 31 episode	NSettled no: Warsh, Aug 9 episode	0/20%	0/20%	–
Jobs / Unemployment	–Not listed: Jobs / Unemployment, Mar 15 episode	–Not listed: Jobs / Unemployment, Apr 14 keynote	–Not listed: Jobs / Unemployment, May 31 episode	YSettled yes: Jobs / Unemployment, Aug 9 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–
Productivity	–Not listed: Productivity, Mar 15 episode	YSettled yes: Productivity, Apr 14 keynote	–Not listed: Productivity, May 31 episode	–Not listed: Productivity, Aug 9 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Trump	–Not listed: Trump, Mar 15 episode	–Not listed: Trump, Apr 14 keynote	YSettled yes: Trump, May 31 episode	–Not listed: Trump, Aug 9 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–
Biden	NSettled no: Biden, Mar 15 episode	–Not listed: Biden, Apr 14 keynote	–Not listed: Biden, May 31 episode	–Not listed: Biden, Aug 9 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Deregulation	–Not listed: Deregulation, Mar 15 episode	–Not listed: Deregulation, Apr 14 keynote	–Not listed: Deregulation, May 31 episode	NSettled no: Deregulation, Aug 9 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–
Domestic / Manufacturing	–Not listed: Domestic / Manufacturing, Mar 15 episode	NSettled no: Domestic / Manufacturing, Apr 14 keynote	–Not listed: Domestic / Manufacturing, May 31 episode	–Not listed: Domestic / Manufacturing, Aug 9 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Gas / Gasoline	–Not listed: Gas / Gasoline, Mar 15 episode	NSettled no: Gas / Gasoline, Apr 14 keynote	–Not listed: Gas / Gasoline, May 31 episode	–Not listed: Gas / Gasoline, Aug 9 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Iraq	NSettled no: Iraq, Mar 15 episode	–Not listed: Iraq, Apr 14 keynote	–Not listed: Iraq, May 31 episode	–Not listed: Iraq, Aug 9 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
National Security	–Not listed: National Security, Mar 15 episode	NSettled no: National Security, Apr 14 keynote	–Not listed: National Security, May 31 episode	–Not listed: National Security, Aug 9 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Powell	NSettled no: Powell, Mar 15 episode	–Not listed: Powell, Apr 14 keynote	–Not listed: Powell, May 31 episode	–Not listed: Powell, Aug 9 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Republican	NSettled no: Republican, Mar 15 episode	–Not listed: Republican, Apr 14 keynote	–Not listed: Republican, May 31 episode	–Not listed: Republican, Aug 9 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Russia / Russian	–Not listed: Russia / Russian, Mar 15 episode	NSettled no: Russia / Russian, Apr 14 keynote	–Not listed: Russia / Russian, May 31 episode	–Not listed: Russia / Russian, Aug 9 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability

• Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
• N: settled no
• not listed
• probability next time, with n
• Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N

of the appearances shown, how many counted as said

Settled

every settled market of the word: said / listed

Probability

the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Citeparrot.markets, “Kevin Hassett: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kevin-hassett (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/kevin-hassett · words: /api/v1/history?entity=kevin-hassett · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP