Will Kevin Hassett say “Trump” 3+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kevin Hassett said “Trump” 3+ times at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 15, 2026 (67%), most recently on Aug 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 press briefing; Feb 20, 2025), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kevin Hassett
Trump (3+ times)
- Probability
- 45% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
You know, one of the things that President Trump cares most about is job creation. And it was about seven years ago I had the…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Kevin Hassett say “Trump (3+ times)”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Kevin Hassett said “Trump” 3+ times at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 15, 2026 (67%), most recently on Aug 9, 2026.
- What is the probability Kevin Hassett says “Trump (3+ times)” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kevin Hassett: ‘Trump (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kevin-hassett/words/trump-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kevin-hassett&word=trump%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kevin-hassett&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP