Will Kevin Hassett say “China”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kevin Hassett did not say “China” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 30% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 press briefing; Feb 20, 2025), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kevin Hassett
China
- Probability
- 30% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Absolutely. And, in fact, if you think about the China tariff revenue that we're estimating is coming in from the 10 percent that we just…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Kevin Hassett say “China”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Kevin Hassett did not say “China” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Kevin Hassett says “China” next time?
- 30%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kevin Hassett: ‘China’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kevin-hassett/words/china (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kevin-hassett&word=china · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kevin-hassett&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP