Will Kevin Hassett say “Stock Market”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Kevin Hassett did not say “Stock Market” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 30% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 press briefing; Feb 20, 2025), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kevin Hassett
Stock Market
- Probability
- 30% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Stock Market |  Kalshi | No |
| May 31, 2026 | Stock Market | Kalshi | No |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Stock Market | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Kevin Hassett say “Stock Market”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Kevin Hassett did not say “Stock Market” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Kevin Hassett says “Stock Market” next time?
- 30%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kevin Hassett: ‘Stock Market’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kevin-hassett/words/stock-market (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kevin-hassett&word=stock%20market · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kevin-hassett&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP