Will Kevin Hassett say “Oil”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Kevin Hassett said “Oil” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 15, 2026 (100%), most recently on Apr 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 55% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 press briefing; Feb 20, 2025), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kevin Hassett
Oil
- Probability
- 55% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Kevin Hassett say “Oil”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Kevin Hassett said “Oil” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 15, 2026 (100%), most recently on Apr 14, 2026.
- What is the probability Kevin Hassett says “Oil” next time?
- 55%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kevin Hassett: ‘Oil’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kevin-hassett/words/oil (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kevin-hassett&word=oil · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kevin-hassett&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP