Will Ken Paxton say “Oil / Gas / Gasoline”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Ken Paxton said “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 19, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 63% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

63%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Ken Paxton

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

Probability
63% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Ken Paxton yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Ken Paxton say during RNC Midterm Convention? · settled yes

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What will Ken Paxton say during Fox News: The Will Cain Show? · settled no

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What will Ken Paxton say during Turning Point Tour? · not listed

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What will Ken Paxton say during the CPAC Dinner? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 10, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes
May 19, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Ken Paxton say “Oil / Gas / Gasoline”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Ken Paxton said “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 19, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026.
What is the probability Ken Paxton says “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” next time?
63%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Ken Paxton: ‘Oil / Gas / Gasoline’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/ken-paxton/words/gas-or-gasoline-or-oil (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ken-paxton&word=gas%20%2F%20gasoline%20%2F%20oil · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ken-paxton&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP