Ken Paxton: Remarks, Mar 27, 2026
Kalshi What will Ken Paxton say during the CPAC Dinner?
Markets
10 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Big Tech | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Deport / Deportation | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ID / Identification | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Border | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democrat | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE / DHS | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jesus | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Muslim | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Noem / Homan | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPOLITICSMENTION-26MAR27D · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP