Will Josh Shapiro say “Iran / Iranian”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Josh Shapiro said “Iran / Iranian” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 18, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

36%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=josh-shapiro&word=iran%20%2F%20iranian

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Josh Shapiro

Iran / Iranian

Probability
36% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last 1 transcript
said in 1 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Josh Shapiro say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 5 by speakers the rule does not count.

Josh Shapiroguest54:21In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Mark Kellyother15:56In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Every match in the transcript

What will Josh Shapiro say during MS NOW Deadline: White House? · settled no

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What will Josh Shapiro say during his NAN Fireside Chat? · not listed

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What will Josh Shapiro say during his State of the State Address? · not listed

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What will Josh Shapiro say during his Fox News Interview? · not listed

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What will Josh Shapiro say during his interview on The Weeknight? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 16, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiYes1
Aug 18, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo–

Questions

How often does Josh Shapiro say “Iran / Iranian”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Josh Shapiro said “Iran / Iranian” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 18, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 16, 2026.
What is the probability Josh Shapiro says “Iran / Iranian” next time?
36%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Josh Shapiro: ‘Iran / Iranian’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/josh-shapiro/words/iran-or-iranian (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=josh-shapiro&word=iran%20%2F%20iranian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=josh-shapiro&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP