Will Josh Shapiro say “Immigrant / Immigration”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Josh Shapiro did not say “Immigrant / Immigration” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 30% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Josh Shapiro
Immigrant / Immigration
- Probability
- 30% · n=4
- Settled
- 0/4 (0%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Immigrant / Immigration |  Kalshi | No |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Immigrant / Immigration | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Immigrant / Immigration | Kalshi | No |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Immigrant / Immigration | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Josh Shapiro say “Immigrant / Immigration”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Josh Shapiro did not say “Immigrant / Immigration” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 30, 2026.
- What is the probability Josh Shapiro says “Immigrant / Immigration” next time?
- 30%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Josh Shapiro: ‘Immigrant / Immigration’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/josh-shapiro/words/immigrant-or-immigration (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=josh-shapiro&word=immigrant%20%2F%20immigration · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=josh-shapiro&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP