Will Josh Shapiro say “Democracy”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Josh Shapiro did not say “Democracy” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Josh Shapiro
Democracy
- Probability
- 38% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Josh Shapiro say “Democracy”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Josh Shapiro did not say “Democracy” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 4, 2026.
- What is the probability Josh Shapiro says “Democracy” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Josh Shapiro: ‘Democracy’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/josh-shapiro/words/democracy (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=josh-shapiro&word=democracy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=josh-shapiro&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP