Will Josh Shapiro say “Corrupt / Corruption”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Josh Shapiro said “Corrupt / Corruption” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 18, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Josh Shapiro
Corrupt / Corruption
- Probability
- 36% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Corrupt / Corruption |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Corrupt / Corruption | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Josh Shapiro say “Corrupt / Corruption”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Josh Shapiro said “Corrupt / Corruption” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 18, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 16, 2026.
- What is the probability Josh Shapiro says “Corrupt / Corruption” next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Josh Shapiro: ‘Corrupt / Corruption’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/josh-shapiro/words/corrupt-or-corruption (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=josh-shapiro&word=corrupt%20%2F%20corruption · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=josh-shapiro&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP