Will Josh Shapiro say “Antisemitism / Antisemitic”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Josh Shapiro said “Antisemitism / Antisemitic” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 30, 2026 (67%), most recently on Apr 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 59% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceJosh Shapiro
Antisemitism / Antisemitic
- Probability
- 59% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Antisemitism / Antisemitic | No | 0 | |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Antisemitism / Antisemitic | Yes | – | |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Antisemitic / Antisemitism | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Josh Shapiro say “Antisemitism / Antisemitic”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Josh Shapiro said “Antisemitism / Antisemitic” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 30, 2026 (67%), most recently on Apr 8, 2026.
- What is the probability Josh Shapiro says “Antisemitism / Antisemitic” next time?
- 59%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Josh Shapiro: ‘Antisemitism / Antisemitic’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/josh-shapiro/words/antisemitic-or-antisemitism (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=josh-shapiro&word=antisemitic%20%2F%20antisemitism · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=josh-shapiro&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP