Will John Thune say “Trump” 3+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, John Thune did not say “Trump” 3+ times at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 17, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
40%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
John Thune
Trump (3+ times)
- Probability
- 40% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for John Thune yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) |  Kalshi | No |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does John Thune say “Trump (3+ times)”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, John Thune did not say “Trump” 3+ times at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 17, 2026.
- What is the probability John Thune says “Trump (3+ times)” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “John Thune: ‘Trump (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/john-thune/words/trump-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=john-thune&word=trump%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=john-thune&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP