John Fetterman

Politics · CongressPersonUS CongressHistory onlyUpdated Oct 24, 2026, 17:02 UTC

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As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 47 word markets on John Fetterman’s appearances since 2026, on 28 different words.

History Wall

1–28 of 28, most settled first

John Fetterman: every word with settled markets, most settled first

Word	Feb 15episode	Apr 11interview	Apr 25episode	Jun 27latest	Last 4	Settled	Probability
Trump	NSettled no: Trump, Feb 15 episode	NSettled no: Trump, Apr 11 interview	YSettled yes: Trump, Apr 25 episode	YSettled yes: Trump, Jun 27 episode	2/450%	2/450%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Electionnever said	NSettled no: Election, Feb 15 episode	NSettled no: Election, Apr 11 interview	NSettled no: Election, Apr 25 episode	NSettled no: Election, Jun 27 episode	0/40%	0/40%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Bipartisan	–Not listed: Bipartisan, Feb 15 episode	YSettled yes: Bipartisan, Apr 11 interview	YSettled yes: Bipartisan, Apr 25 episode	NSettled no: Bipartisan, Jun 27 episode	2/367%	2/367%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Republican	YSettled yes: Republican, Feb 15 episode	YSettled yes: Republican, Apr 11 interview	NSettled no: Republican, Apr 25 episode	–Not listed: Republican, Jun 27 episode	2/367%	2/367%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	–Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Feb 15 episode	YSettled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Apr 11 interview	NSettled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Apr 25 episode	NSettled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 27 episode	1/333%	1/333%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	–Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Feb 15 episode	NSettled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Apr 11 interview	NSettled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Apr 25 episode	NSettled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jun 27 episode	0/30%	0/30%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Iran / Iranian	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Feb 15 episode	–Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Apr 11 interview	YSettled yes: Iran / Iranian, Apr 25 episode	YSettled yes: Iran / Iranian, Jun 27 episode	2/2100%	2/2100%	–
Israel / Israeli	–Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Feb 15 episode	YSettled yes: Israel / Israeli, Apr 11 interview	YSettled yes: Israel / Israeli, Apr 25 episode	–Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Jun 27 episode	2/2100%	2/2100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Shutdown / Shut Down	YSettled yes: Shutdown / Shut Down, Feb 15 episode	NSettled no: Shutdown / Shut Down, Apr 11 interview	–Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Apr 25 episode	–Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Jun 27 episode	1/250%	1/250%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Epstein	NSettled no: Epstein, Feb 15 episode	NSettled no: Epstein, Apr 11 interview	–Not listed: Epstein, Apr 25 episode	–Not listed: Epstein, Jun 27 episode	0/20%	0/20%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Fraud	NSettled no: Fraud, Feb 15 episode	–Not listed: Fraud, Apr 11 interview	–Not listed: Fraud, Apr 25 episode	NSettled no: Fraud, Jun 27 episode	0/20%	0/20%	–
Big Beautiful Bill	YSettled yes: Big Beautiful Bill, Feb 15 episode	–Not listed: Big Beautiful Bill, Apr 11 interview	–Not listed: Big Beautiful Bill, Apr 25 episode	–Not listed: Big Beautiful Bill, Jun 27 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–
ICE / Border / Homeland	YSettled yes: ICE / Border / Homeland, Feb 15 episode	–Not listed: ICE / Border / Homeland, Apr 11 interview	–Not listed: ICE / Border / Homeland, Apr 25 episode	–Not listed: ICE / Border / Homeland, Jun 27 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–
Democrat	YSettled yes: Democrat, Feb 15 episode	–Not listed: Democrat, Apr 11 interview	–Not listed: Democrat, Apr 25 episode	–Not listed: Democrat, Jun 27 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–
ICE	–Not listed: ICE, Feb 15 episode	–Not listed: ICE, Apr 11 interview	–Not listed: ICE, Apr 25 episode	YSettled yes: ICE, Jun 27 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–
Iran	–Not listed: Iran, Feb 15 episode	YSettled yes: Iran, Apr 11 interview	–Not listed: Iran, Apr 25 episode	–Not listed: Iran, Jun 27 episode	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
AI / Artificial Intelligence	–Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence , Feb 15 episode	–Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence , Apr 11 interview	NSettled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence , Apr 25 episode	–Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence , Jun 27 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–
Chicken	–Not listed: Chicken, Feb 15 episode	–Not listed: Chicken, Apr 11 interview	NSettled no: Chicken, Apr 25 episode	–Not listed: Chicken, Jun 27 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–
Communist / Communism	–Not listed: Communist / Communism, Feb 15 episode	–Not listed: Communist / Communism, Apr 11 interview	–Not listed: Communist / Communism, Apr 25 episode	NSettled no: Communist / Communism, Jun 27 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–
SNAP / Food Stamp	–Not listed: SNAP / Food Stamp, Feb 15 episode	–Not listed: SNAP / Food Stamp, Apr 11 interview	NSettled no: SNAP / Food Stamp, Apr 25 episode	–Not listed: SNAP / Food Stamp, Jun 27 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–
ICE / TSA	–Not listed: ICE / TSA, Feb 15 episode	NSettled no: ICE / TSA, Apr 11 interview	–Not listed: ICE / TSA, Apr 25 episode	–Not listed: ICE / TSA, Jun 27 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Kristi / Noem	NSettled no: Kristi / Noem, Feb 15 episode	–Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Apr 11 interview	–Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Apr 25 episode	–Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Jun 27 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–
Zohran / Mamdani	–Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, Feb 15 episode	–Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, Apr 11 interview	–Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, Apr 25 episode	NSettled no: Zohran / Mamdani, Jun 27 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–
Minnesota / Minneapolis	NSettled no: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Feb 15 episode	–Not listed: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Apr 11 interview	–Not listed: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Apr 25 episode	–Not listed: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Jun 27 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–
National Security	–Not listed: National Security, Feb 15 episode	NSettled no: National Security, Apr 11 interview	–Not listed: National Security, Apr 25 episode	–Not listed: National Security, Jun 27 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting	–Not listed: Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting, Feb 15 episode	–Not listed: Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting, Apr 11 interview	NSettled no: Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting, Apr 25 episode	–Not listed: Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting, Jun 27 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–
Schumer	NSettled no: Schumer, Feb 15 episode	–Not listed: Schumer, Apr 11 interview	–Not listed: Schumer, Apr 25 episode	–Not listed: Schumer, Jun 27 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–
Socialism / Socialist	–Not listed: Socialism / Socialist, Feb 15 episode	–Not listed: Socialism / Socialist, Apr 11 interview	–Not listed: Socialism / Socialist, Apr 25 episode	NSettled no: Socialism / Socialist, Jun 27 episode	0/10%	0/10%	–

• Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
• N: settled no
• not listed
• probability next time, with n
• Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N

of the appearances shown, how many counted as said

Settled

every settled market of the word: said / listed

Probability

the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Citeparrot.markets, “John Fetterman: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/john-fetterman (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/john-fetterman · words: /api/v1/history?entity=john-fetterman · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP