Will John Fetterman say “Israel / Israeli”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, John Fetterman said “Israel / Israeli” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 11, 2026 (100%), most recently on Apr 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
John Fetterman
Israel / Israeli
- Probability
- 53% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for John Fetterman yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Israel / Israeli |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Israel / Israeli | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does John Fetterman say “Israel / Israeli”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, John Fetterman said “Israel / Israeli” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 11, 2026 (100%), most recently on Apr 25, 2026.
- What is the probability John Fetterman says “Israel / Israeli” next time?
- 53%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “John Fetterman: ‘Israel / Israeli’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/john-fetterman/words/israel-or-israeli (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=john-fetterman&word=israel%20%2F%20israeli · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=john-fetterman&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP