Will John Fetterman say “Republican”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, John Fetterman said “Republican” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 15, 2026 (67%), most recently on Apr 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
John Fetterman
Republican
- Probability
- 53% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for John Fetterman yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Republican |  Kalshi | No |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does John Fetterman say “Republican”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, John Fetterman said “Republican” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 15, 2026 (67%), most recently on Apr 11, 2026.
- What is the probability John Fetterman says “Republican” next time?
- 53%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “John Fetterman: ‘Republican’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/john-fetterman/words/republican (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=john-fetterman&word=republican · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=john-fetterman&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP