Will Jared Isaacman say “Trump”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Jared Isaacman said “Trump” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 26, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jul 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Apr 5, 2026 – Jul 5, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

46%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=jared-isaacman&word=trump

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jared Isaacman

Trump

Probability
46% · n=3
Settled
2/3 (67%)
Last 2 episodes
said in 2 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 8 by speakers the rule does not count.

Jared IsaacmanguestIn transcript

…base, establish that enduring presence? I think the answer is yes. President Trump gave us the national space policy my first day on the job.…

ED O'KEEFEotherIn transcript

…nearby museums and government agency buildings, but they returned to watch President Trump's speech and what was considered the world's largest fireworks display ever, which…

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Every match in the transcript

What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Moon Base Update? · settled no

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What will Jared Isaacman say during NASA's Moon Base News Conference? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Budget hearing? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Budget Hearing? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during his Fox News interview? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 5, 2026TrumpKalshiYes1
Jun 30, 2026TrumpKalshiNo–
May 26, 2026TrumpKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Jared Isaacman say “Trump”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Jared Isaacman said “Trump” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 26, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jul 5, 2026.
What is the probability Jared Isaacman says “Trump” next time?
46%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jared Isaacman: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jared-isaacman/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jared-isaacman&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jared-isaacman&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP