Will Jared Isaacman say “Budget”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jared Isaacman said “Budget” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 26, 2026 (33%), most recently on May 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Apr 5, 2026 – Jul 5, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jared Isaacman
Budget
- Probability
- 46% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 2 episodes
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…are not going to be passive anymore. We're not going to let budgets -- you know, get overbudget or behind schedule. Not when there's so…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Jared Isaacman say “Budget”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jared Isaacman said “Budget” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 26, 2026 (33%), most recently on May 26, 2026.
- What is the probability Jared Isaacman says “Budget” next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jared Isaacman: ‘Budget’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jared-isaacman/words/budget (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jared-isaacman&word=budget · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jared-isaacman&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP