What is the probability Jared Isaacman says “Blue Origin” next time?

63%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Jared Isaacman say “Blue Origin”?

Name: Jared Isaacman: “Blue Origin” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Jared Isaacman said “Blue Origin” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 26, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 63% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Apr 5, 2026 – Jul 5, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

63%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
Streak: said the last 3 times
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 05:05 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jared Isaacman

Blue Origin

Probability: 63% · n=3
Settled: 3/3 (100%)
Last 2 episodes: said in 1 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

2 counted; 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Jared IsaacmanguestIn transcript

…the three most powerful rockets in the world, NASA's SLS, SpaceX's Starship, Blue Origin's New Glenn. And then you're going to have the landers come…

Jared IsaacmanguestIn transcript

…Dave Limp, on the matter. We've helped provide subject matter experts to Blue Origin. We're helping with anomaly investigation on the rocket. We're helping with…

Every match in the transcript

What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Moon Base Update? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Jared Isaacman say during NASA's Moon Base News Conference? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Budget hearing? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Budget Hearing? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during his Fox News interview? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result	Our count
Jul 5, 2026	Blue Origin	Kalshi	Yes	2
Jun 30, 2026	Blue Origin	Kalshi	Yes	–
May 26, 2026	Blue Origin	Kalshi	Yes	–

Questions

How often does Jared Isaacman say “Blue Origin”?: As of Oct 24, 2026, Jared Isaacman said “Blue Origin” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 26, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 5, 2026.
What is the probability Jared Isaacman says “Blue Origin” next time?: 63%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jared Isaacman: ‘Blue Origin’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jared-isaacman/words/blue-origin (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jared-isaacman&word=blue%20origin · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jared-isaacman&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP