What is the probability Jared Isaacman says “Artemis 3” next time?

63%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Jared Isaacman say “Artemis 3”?

Name: Jared Isaacman: “Artemis 3” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Jared Isaacman said “Artemis 3” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 26, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 63% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Apr 5, 2026 – Jul 5, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

63%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
Streak: said the last 3 times
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 03:01 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jared Isaacman

Artemis 3

Probability: 63% · n=3
Settled: 3/3 (100%)
Last 2 episodes: said in 2 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

3 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Jared IsaacmanguestIn transcript

…Working Family Tax Cut Act. That's what allowed us to add the Artemis III mission next year. So we are going back. It will be…

Jared IsaacmanguestIn transcript

…keep the lander progressing and ensure we have the right outcome, which is a successful Artemis III mission, and then we land on Artemis IV.

Every match in the transcript

What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Moon Base Update? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Jared Isaacman say during NASA's Moon Base News Conference? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Budget hearing? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Budget Hearing? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during his Fox News interview? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result	Our count
Jul 5, 2026	Artemis 3	Kalshi	Yes	3
Jun 30, 2026	Artemis 3	Kalshi	Yes	–
May 26, 2026	Artemis 3	Kalshi	Yes	–

Questions

How often does Jared Isaacman say “Artemis 3”?: As of Oct 24, 2026, Jared Isaacman said “Artemis 3” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 26, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 5, 2026.
What is the probability Jared Isaacman says “Artemis 3” next time?: 63%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jared Isaacman: ‘Artemis 3’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jared-isaacman/words/artemis-3 (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jared-isaacman&word=artemis%203 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jared-isaacman&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP