What is the probability Jared Isaacman says “Apollo” next time?

63%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Jared Isaacman say “Apollo”?

Name: Jared Isaacman: “Apollo” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Jared Isaacman said “Apollo” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 26, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 63% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Apr 5, 2026 – Jul 5, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

63%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
Streak: said the last 3 times
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 11:28 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jared Isaacman

Apollo

Probability: 63% · n=3
Settled: 3/3 (100%)
Last 2 episodes: said in 1 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Jared IsaacmanguestIn transcript

…come together in Earth orbit, test out their capabilities, very a la Apollo 9,give us the confidence in our landers for Artemis IV in 2028.…

MARK STRASSMANNotherIn transcript

… and throughout NASA's early programs, Mercury, Gemini, Apollo. JOHN F. KENNEDY (Former President of the United States: We choose to go to the moon…

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Every match in the transcript

What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Moon Base Update? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Jared Isaacman say during NASA's Moon Base News Conference? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Budget hearing? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during the NASA Budget Hearing? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during his Fox News interview? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result	Our count
Jul 5, 2026	Apollo	Kalshi	Yes	1
Jun 30, 2026	Apollo	Kalshi	Yes	–
May 26, 2026	Apollo	Kalshi	Yes	–

Questions

How often does Jared Isaacman say “Apollo”?: As of Oct 24, 2026, Jared Isaacman said “Apollo” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 26, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 5, 2026.
What is the probability Jared Isaacman says “Apollo” next time?: 63%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jared Isaacman: ‘Apollo’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jared-isaacman/words/apollo (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jared-isaacman&word=apollo · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jared-isaacman&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP