Will James Fishback say “AIPAC”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, James Fishback said “AIPAC” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
44%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
James Fishback
AIPAC
- Probability
- 44% · n=4
- Settled
- 2/4 (50%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for James Fishback yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does James Fishback say “AIPAC”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, James Fishback said “AIPAC” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 4, 2026.
- What is the probability James Fishback says “AIPAC” next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “James Fishback: ‘AIPAC’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/james-fishback/words/aipac (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=james-fishback&word=aipac · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=james-fishback&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP