James Fishback: Remarks, Mar 18, 2026
Kalshi What will James Fishback say during his remarks on War with Iran?
Markets
14 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AIPAC | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| America First | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel / Israeli | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fraud | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| H-1B | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hamas / Hezbollah | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Waffle House | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMENTION-FISH26MAR18 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP