Will Ilhan Omar say “Republican”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Ilhan Omar did not say “Republican” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Jan 11, 2026), since fewer than 2 rallies have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Ilhan Omar
Republican
- Probability
- 35% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Secretary Chris Wright about that. Virginia Democratic Senator Tim Kaine and Florida Republican Congresswoman Maria Elvira Salazar will also join us. It's all just ahead…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2026 | Republican |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often does Ilhan Omar say “Republican”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Ilhan Omar did not say “Republican” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 12, 2026.
- What is the probability Ilhan Omar says “Republican” next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Ilhan Omar: ‘Republican’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/ilhan-omar/words/republican (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ilhan-omar&word=republican · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ilhan-omar&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP