Will Ilhan Omar say “Iran / Israel”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Ilhan Omar did not say “Iran / Israel” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 20, 2026.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Jan 11, 2026), since fewer than 2 rallies have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Ilhan Omar
Iran / Israel
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Year's eruption of unrest around the world. As the deadly protests in Iran spread, are the regime's days numbered? And what's the Trump administration's red…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2026 | Iran / Israel |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Ilhan Omar say “Iran / Israel”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Ilhan Omar did not say “Iran / Israel” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Ilhan Omar says “Iran / Israel” next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Ilhan Omar: ‘Iran / Israel’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/ilhan-omar/words/iran-or-israel (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ilhan-omar&word=iran%20%2F%20israel · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ilhan-omar&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP