Will Ilhan Omar say “Trump”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Ilhan Omar said “Trump” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 12, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 55% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Jan 11, 2026), since fewer than 2 rallies have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Ilhan Omar
Trump
- Probability
- 55% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Washington. And this week on Face the Nation: Anti-ICE protests spread nationwide, and the Trump administration struggles to deal with exploding tensions around the world.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Ilhan Omar say “Trump”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Ilhan Omar said “Trump” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 12, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Ilhan Omar says “Trump” next time?
- 55%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Ilhan Omar: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/ilhan-omar/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ilhan-omar&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ilhan-omar&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP