Ilhan Omar: Rally, Jul 20, 2026
Kalshi What will Ilhan Omar say during The Many Over the Money Rally?
Markets
12 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Election | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Abdul / El-Sayed | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ballroom / Pool | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran / Israel | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Republican | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Somali / Somalia / Somalian | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPOLITICSMENTION-26JUL20 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP