Will Tucker Carlson say “Israel”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tucker Carlson said “Israel” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 18, 2025 (100%), most recently on Dec 19, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 54% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tucker Carlson
Israel
- Probability
- 54% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Tucker Carlson yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Tucker Carlson say “Israel”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tucker Carlson said “Israel” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 18, 2025 (100%), most recently on Dec 19, 2025.
- What is the probability Tucker Carlson says “Israel” next time?
- 54%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tucker Carlson: ‘Israel’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/tucker-carlson/words/israel (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tucker-carlson&word=israel · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tucker-carlson&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP