Tucker Carlson

Podcasts · Political commentatorsPersonHistory onlyUpdated Oct 24, 2026, 00:44 UTC

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As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 54 word markets on Tucker Carlson’s appearances since 2024, on 48 different words.

History Wall

1–40 of 50, most settled first · page 1 of 2

Tucker Carlson: every word with settled markets, most settled first

Word	Dec 5 ’24interview	Dec 18 ’25speech	Dec 19latest	Last 3	Settled	Probability
America First	–Not listed: America First, Dec 5 ’24 interview	YSettled yes: America First, Dec 18 ’25 speech	YSettled yes: America First, Dec 19 remarks	2/2100%	2/2100%	54%n=2 from settlement history
Israel	–Not listed: Israel, Dec 5 ’24 interview	YSettled yes: Israel, Dec 18 ’25 speech	YSettled yes: Israel, Dec 19 remarks	2/2100%	2/2100%	54%n=2 from settlement history
Racist / Racism	–Not listed: Racist / Racism, Dec 5 ’24 interview	YSettled yes: Racist / Racism, Dec 18 ’25 speech	YSettled yes: Racist / Racism, Dec 19 remarks	2/2100%	2/2100%	54%n=2 from settlement history
Crypto / Bitcoin	NSettled no: Crypto / Bitcoin, Dec 5 ’24 interview	NSettled no: Crypto / Bitcoin, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Dec 19 remarks	0/20%	0/20%	33%n=2 from settlement history
Assad	YSettled yes: Assad, Dec 5 ’24 interview	–Not listed: Assad, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: Assad, Dec 19 remarks	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Christian	–Not listed: Christian, Dec 5 ’24 interview	YSettled yes: Christian, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: Christian, Dec 19 remarks	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Drug	–Not listed: Drug, Dec 5 ’24 interview	YSettled yes: Drug, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: Drug, Dec 19 remarks	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Foreign Policy	–Not listed: Foreign Policy, Dec 5 ’24 interview	YSettled yes: Foreign Policy, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: Foreign Policy, Dec 19 remarks	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Free Speech	–Not listed: Free Speech, Dec 5 ’24 interview	YSettled yes: Free Speech, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: Free Speech, Dec 19 remarks	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
House / Housing	–Not listed: House / Housing, Dec 5 ’24 interview	YSettled yes: House / Housing, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: House / Housing, Dec 19 remarks	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
JD / Vance	–Not listed: JD / Vance, Dec 5 ’24 interview	YSettled yes: JD / Vance, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: JD / Vance, Dec 19 remarks	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
MAGA / Make America Great Again	–Not listed: MAGA / Make America Great Again, Dec 5 ’24 interview	–Not listed: MAGA / Make America Great Again, Dec 18 ’25 speech	YSettled yes: MAGA / Make America Great Again, Dec 19 remarks	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Nuclear3+ times	YSettled yes: Nuclear 3+ times, Dec 5 ’24 interview	–Not listed: Nuclear 3+ times, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: Nuclear 3+ times, Dec 19 remarks	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Regime Change	–Not listed: Regime Change, Dec 5 ’24 interview	YSettled yes: Regime Change, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: Regime Change, Dec 19 remarks	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Syria	YSettled yes: Syria, Dec 5 ’24 interview	–Not listed: Syria, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: Syria, Dec 19 remarks	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Trump10+ times	–Not listed: Trump 10+ times, Dec 5 ’24 interview	YSettled yes: Trump 10+ times, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: Trump 10+ times, Dec 19 remarks	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
War5+ times	–Not listed: War 5+ times, Dec 5 ’24 interview	YSettled yes: War 5+ times, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: War 5+ times, Dec 19 remarks	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
AI / Artificial Intelligence	–Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Dec 5 ’24 interview	–Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Dec 18 ’25 speech	NSettled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Alp / Zyn	–Not listed: Alp / Zyn, Dec 5 ’24 interview	–Not listed: Alp / Zyn, Dec 18 ’25 speech	NSettled no: Alp / Zyn, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Biden5+ times	NSettled no: Biden 5+ times, Dec 5 ’24 interview	–Not listed: Biden 5+ times, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: Biden 5+ times, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Border / Immigration5+ times	–Not listed: Border / Immigration 5+ times, Dec 5 ’24 interview	NSettled no: Border / Immigration 5+ times, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: Border / Immigration 5+ times, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Buffer	NSettled no: Buffer, Dec 5 ’24 interview	–Not listed: Buffer, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: Buffer, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Credit / Buy Now Pay Later	–Not listed: Credit / Buy Now Pay Later, Dec 5 ’24 interview	NSettled no: Credit / Buy Now Pay Later, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: Credit / Buy Now Pay Later, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Candace Owens	–Not listed: Candace Owens, Dec 5 ’24 interview	–Not listed: Candace Owens, Dec 18 ’25 speech	NSettled no: Candace Owens, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Censor / Censorship	–Not listed: Censor / Censorship, Dec 5 ’24 interview	NSettled no: Censor / Censorship, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: Censor / Censorship, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
China5+ times	NSettled no: China 5+ times, Dec 5 ’24 interview	–Not listed: China 5+ times, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: China 5+ times, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Clown	NSettled no: Clown, Dec 5 ’24 interview	–Not listed: Clown, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: Clown, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Conspiracy	–Not listed: Conspiracy, Dec 5 ’24 interview	–Not listed: Conspiracy, Dec 18 ’25 speech	NSettled no: Conspiracy, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Constitution	–Not listed: Constitution, Dec 5 ’24 interview	–Not listed: Constitution, Dec 18 ’25 speech	NSettled no: Constitution, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Loan / Debt	–Not listed: Loan / Debt, Dec 5 ’24 interview	NSettled no: Loan / Debt, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: Loan / Debt, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Democracy	NSettled no: Democracy, Dec 5 ’24 interview	–Not listed: Democracy, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: Democracy, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Democrat / Democratic5+ times	–Not listed: Democrat / Democratic 5+ times, Dec 5 ’24 interview	NSettled no: Democrat / Democratic 5+ times, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: Democrat / Democratic 5+ times, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Denazification/Denazify	NSettled no: Denazification/Denazify, Dec 5 ’24 interview	–Not listed: Denazification/Denazify, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: Denazification/Denazify, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Economy	–Not listed: Economy, Dec 5 ’24 interview	NSettled no: Economy, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: Economy, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
HIMARS	NSettled no: HIMARS, Dec 5 ’24 interview	–Not listed: HIMARS, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: HIMARS, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Jew/Jewish	NSettled no: Jew/Jewish, Dec 5 ’24 interview	–Not listed: Jew/Jewish, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: Jew/Jewish, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Kamala	NSettled no: Kamala, Dec 5 ’24 interview	–Not listed: Kamala, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: Kamala, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
NATO5+ times	NSettled no: NATO 5+ times, Dec 5 ’24 interview	–Not listed: NATO 5+ times, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: NATO 5+ times, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Nazi	NSettled no: Nazi, Dec 5 ’24 interview	–Not listed: Nazi, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: Nazi, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Prigozhin	NSettled no: Prigozhin, Dec 5 ’24 interview	–Not listed: Prigozhin, Dec 18 ’25 speech	–Not listed: Prigozhin, Dec 19 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability

• Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
• N: settled no
• not listed
• probability next time, with n
• Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N

of the appearances shown, how many counted as said

Settled

every settled market of the word: said / listed

Probability

the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

More words (10 left)

Citeparrot.markets, “Tucker Carlson: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/tucker-carlson (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/tucker-carlson · words: /api/v1/history?entity=tucker-carlson · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP