Tucker Carlson: Interview, Dec 5, 2024
Polymarket What will Tucker say during Lavrov interview?
Markets
21 words · 3 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Assad | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nuclear 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Syria | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Biden 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Buffer | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Clown | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democracy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Denazification/Denazify | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| HIMARS | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jew/Jewish | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kamala | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NATO 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nazi | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Prigozhin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ukraine 10+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Wagner | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| West 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| WW3 | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
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