Tucker Carlson: Remarks, Dec 19, 2025
Kalshi What will Tucker Carlson say during Turning Point America Fest?
Markets
13 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| America First | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Israel | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Racist / Racism | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Alp / Zyn | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Candace Owens | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Conspiracy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Constitution | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Qatar | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Socialist / Socialism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Student Loan | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ukraine | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXCARLSONMENTION-25DEC22 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP