Will “Russia / Russian” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Russia / Russian” was said on Lemonade Stand in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 27, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 71% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 4.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Lemonade Stand
Russia / Russian
- Probability
- 71% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…great show for you today. We're going to talk about the hilarious Russia deal with Diesel and a Saudi airport attacking bond yields and some…
…This is so new. They don't say this is the suspicion is Russia very obviously because, and this is a weird story that that dovetails…
Picture this. It's the year 1700. Slash lemonade. Slash lemonade. In Russia. You've never seen Gusto in your life. Support for the show comes from…
…background, Perry. There's 150 pages. It's quite a lot. Some highlights include Russians who are using Claude to attack Ukrainian officials and steal drone technology…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2026 | Russia / Russian |  Polymarket | Yes |
| May 27, 2026 | Russia / Russian | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Russia / Russian” said on Lemonade Stand?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Russia / Russian” was said on Lemonade Stand in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 27, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 10, 2026.
- What is the probability “Russia / Russian” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
- 71%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Russia / Russian’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/russia-or-russian (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=russia%20%2F%20russian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP