Will “Prediction” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Prediction” was said on Lemonade Stand in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 5, 2026.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 4.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Lemonade Stand

Prediction

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), October 7, 2026 · Oct 7, 2026 · 3:56In transcript

…be leading. So as we've discussed a couple of times, Tallarico, the Democratic candidate, continuing to go up in the polls, predictions, all this stuff.

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 23, 2026 · Sep 23, 2026 · 1:16:29In transcript

Yeah. Because Paxton is just, I mean, this is prediction markets. Talarico is basically about a week ago. If you're, if you're seeing the audio,…

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 16, 2026 · Sep 16, 2026 · 18:25In transcript

…run out of money or they run out of enthusiasm to finish last. And you know already predictions, so you need to do something different.

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 2, 2026 · Sep 2, 2026 · 4:50In transcript

…Aiden, I don't want to cut off you that it seems from prediction markets, from the news that likely the House of Representatives is going…

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 21) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 14) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 7) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 30) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 23) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 16) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 9) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 2) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (August 26) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (August 12) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 5, 2026PredictionPolymarketYes

Questions

How often is “Prediction” said on Lemonade Stand?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Prediction” was said on Lemonade Stand in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 5, 2026.
What is the probability “Prediction” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
65%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Prediction’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/prediction (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=prediction · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP