Will “New York” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “New York” was said on Lemonade Stand in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 20, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 71% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 6.
71%from settlement history only · n=2counts: anyone
GET /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=new%20york
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Lemonade Stand
New York
Probability
71% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), October 21, 2026 · Oct 21, 2026 · 0:14In transcript
We're in the New York edition of Lemonade Stand. We're getting closer to our true hosts.
Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), October 14, 2026 · Oct 14, 2026 · 0:10In transcript
…week on Happy Hour, I invite new and old friends for a drink and a fun conversation at my kitchen table in New York City.
Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), October 7, 2026 · Oct 7, 2026 · 14:20In transcript
…of the Homeland Security budget to put these on TV. Holy fuck! New York Times reported that Trump personally directed the White House budget director…
Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 30, 2026 · Sep 30, 2026 · 1:16:17In transcript
…because it brings everybody together. Right. And you can wear a Timo hat and go to Shanghai or go to Seoul or New York and
Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 9, 2026 · Sep 9, 2026 · 3:24In transcript
…what's interesting is that Eric Hafner is currently in federal prison in New York until 2036. In 2022, he was sentenced to 20 years. Somebody…
What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 21) · not listed
As of Oct 24, 2026, “New York” was said on Lemonade Stand in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 20, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 24, 2026.
What is the probability “New York” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
71%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Citeparrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘New York’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/new-york (CC BY 4.0)
Polymarket