Will “Apple” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Apple” was said on Lemonade Stand in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 20, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 55% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 3.

55%from settlement history only · n=2counts: anyone
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Lemonade Stand

Apple

Probability
55% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), October 14, 2026 · Oct 14, 2026 · 1:23:02In transcript

Anything other than AI? And it's like, Apple announces new home device that has Siri. And I'm like, nobody cares. Nobody fucking cares, okay? Let's…

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 23, 2026 · Sep 23, 2026 · 53:13In transcript

…similar to that, but they packaged it in a way that's very clean and consumer friendly. It's almost Apple-esque how it's like, it just works.

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 16, 2026 · Sep 16, 2026 · 22:48In transcript

…you do that one well, you have success. Why not everybody can make iPhones? Because Apple and Samsung know how to do it pretty well.

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 21) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 14) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 7) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 30) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 23) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 16) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 9) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 2) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (August 26) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (August 12) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jun 24, 2026ApplePolymarketNo
May 20, 2026ApplePolymarketYes

Questions

How often is “Apple” said on Lemonade Stand?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Apple” was said on Lemonade Stand in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 20, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 20, 2026.
What is the probability “Apple” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
55%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Apple’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/apple (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=apple · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP